Califrais / Solutions / Distributors

Distributors: fewer stock-outs, less stock.

Forecast demand product by product, turn forecasts into orders that respect your supplier constraints, test decisions before applying them: for large retailers and key accounts, we also build bespoke algorithms.

Your challenges

One question, two opposite risks.

Too little stock

Stock-outs: lost sales, unhappy customers, store penalties.

Too much stock

Overstock: tied-up capital, saturated warehouses, spoilage of perishables.

Supplier constraints

Pack sizes, free-shipping thresholds, minimums, lead times, calendars: every order must satisfy them all.

Recommendations to explain

Procurement teams adopt a proposal when they understand why it was made.

Our approach

Handle the full decision chain, not just the forecast.

  1. 01ForecastFor every product, every day, over several weeks: expected demand and its uncertainty.
  2. 02DecideTurn the forecast into concrete orders: stock, open orders, supplier constraints, stock-out versus overstock trade-off.
  3. 03AdjustRecompute in real time on a targeted scope when supplier or transport issues arise, without rerunning the whole chain.
  4. 04SimulateReplay the past and project possible futures with the digital twin.

Proof

Validated on real production data.

99 %

Service rate

vs 87% sector average

−60 %

Stock-outs

At major European retailers

−60% stock-outs measured at major European retailers, by backtest on real production data.

Let's talk about your replenishment.

Write to us: a team member will get back to you to scope your needs.

stack@califrais.fr